Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.003114 0.003263 0.003415 0.003582 0.003760 0.003944 0.004151
2025-04-13 0.002768 0.002982 0.003208 0.003467 0.003754 0.004066 0.004429
2025-04-20 0.002612 0.002867 0.003145 0.003471 0.003845 0.004262 0.004767
2025-04-27 0.002522 0.002813 0.003135 0.003522 0.003977 0.004499 0.005150
2025-05-04 0.002400 0.002710 0.003059 0.003487 0.004001 0.004603 0.005372
2025-05-11 0.002303 0.002628 0.003002 0.003466 0.004033 0.004713 0.005601
2025-05-18 0.002217 0.002554 0.002946 0.003441 0.004057 0.004809 0.005811
2025-05-25 0.002180 0.002536 0.002956 0.003494 0.004176 0.005023 0.006179
2025-06-01 0.002115 0.002481 0.002917 0.003483 0.004211 0.005131 0.006412
2025-06-08 0.002048 0.002419 0.002867 0.003456 0.004222 0.005206 0.006600
2025-06-15 0.001973 0.002346 0.002800 0.003402 0.004196 0.005228 0.006715
2025-06-22 0.001908 0.002282 0.002741 0.003357 0.004177 0.005259 0.006840
2025-06-29 0.001866 0.002247 0.002718 0.003357 0.004220 0.005374 0.007093
2025-07-06 0.001780 0.002153 0.002617 0.003252 0.004116 0.005285 0.007046
2025-07-13 0.001745 0.002124 0.002600 0.003256 0.004160 0.005400 0.007302
2025-07-20 0.001731 0.002120 0.002614 0.003302 0.004264 0.005604 0.007698
2025-07-27 0.001685 0.002074 0.002572 0.003270 0.004256 0.005646 0.007850
2025-08-03 0.001647 0.002037 0.002539 0.003251 0.004265 0.005711 0.008039
2025-08-10 0.001610 0.002000 0.002506 0.003229 0.004268 0.005767 0.008216
2025-08-17 0.001601 0.002001 0.002523 0.003277 0.004374 0.005981 0.008654
2025-08-24 0.001571 0.001973 0.002500 0.003267 0.004394 0.006064 0.008884
2025-08-31 0.001538 0.001938 0.002467 0.003242 0.004391 0.006110 0.009053
2025-09-07 0.001497 0.001892 0.002418 0.003193 0.004349 0.006094 0.009117